CFB Team Ratings
Wisconsin 2024
1 About
This report displays estimates for Wisconsin’s college football team from 2011 to present. These estimates are based on play by data using an (opponent adjusted) predicted points per play model and a game prediction model.
2 Team Rating by Season
How has Wisconsin performed since 2011?
I estimate an overall rating for each team based on play by play data from each season. A team’s rating indicates their estimated margin of victory against an average FBS opponent.
A team’s overall rating is a function of their offensive, defensive, and special teams ratings, which I estimate for each team in each season. These ratings are based on expected points - on average, how many points did the team typically generate per play while on offense or defense?
I additionally estimate a team’s performance when passing/rushing on offense, or defending the pass/rush on defense.
The following (interactive) tables show my estimates at the season level for the selected team, along with their ranking in each category in parentheses.
3 Team Rating by Week
How has a team performed over the course of a season?
I estimate every team’s performance after each full week of every season using play by play data from that week and previous weeks, weighting recent plays more heavily than older plays. The resulting estimates are at the weekly level can be used to monitor a team’s efficiency during a season.
As before, I estimate an overall rating for each team, indicating their estimated margin of victory against an average FBS opponent.
The following tables show my estimates at the weekly level for the selected team from the current season, along with their ranking in each category in parentheses.